Manor Lakes and Wyndham Vale have been in the property news latetly due to their good affordability, I found this great article on the Domain website which goes into some detail and compares our great suburbs with others closer to the Melbourne CBD.
read more below...
The inner Melbourne suburbs at growing risk of coastal flooding linked to climate change
Risks of long-term coastal inundation linked to climate change are rising fastest in a string of inner-city Melbourne suburbs including Docklands, Port Melbourne, Albert Park and the unexpected neighbourhood of Footscray, new research shows.
By 2100 rising sea levels will raise the risk of coastal flooding in suburbs near the water, as part of a mix of conditions that lead to inundation events.
Saltwater inlets running through the city’s inner west and north have put some suburbs far from the foreshore at increased risk, as tides become higher.
Aspendale Gardens, Point Cook, South Wharf, Maribyrnong, Ascot Vale, Flemington and Kensington were other Melbourne suburbs that could be more affected than previously thought.
Local councils in Melbourne’s west are already grappling with the issue, as saltwater starts to affect grassy parks there is a push to improve drainage to better handle floods.
And the risk locally is increasing as the climate crisis around the world deepens. Recent ice melts in Greenland and the Antarctic have fuelled fears sea levels could rise higher and faster than initially expected, with scientists floating the idea projections have been understated.
It comes as the latest UN climate change conference wrapped up this weekend.
The suburbs won’t disappear under the sea but would see more frequent flooding events, climate change consultancy Climate Risk’s director Karl Mallon said.
“The problem we have with coastal inundation is a lot of Australians live close to the sea,” he said.
“Generally we build our houses just out of reach. They’re out of reach at high tide, but [if built] sensibly they’re out of reach of storm surges as well.”
But over time, some homes set back from the coast and not now at risk of flooding will become at risk.
University of Melbourne geomorphologist David Kennedy said the frequency of coastal flooding events would increase, too.
“Globally we’re talking about an annual 1 per cent chance becoming a 10 per cent chance,” Professor Kennedy said.
He said it would be impossible to prevent flooding, but even so, its impact could be managed.
“Business as usual” emissions projections – if global emissions continue at their current pace – show homes that were never previously considered at risk of coastal inundation are in the firing line.
“Sea levels are already increasing, by a few centimetres a decade. Over the course of the century, we see estimates of half a metre all the way to two metres,” Professor Kennedy said. “If you add to that the fact our properties were just placed above the risky levels, they will gradually become more and more at risk of inundation.”
The threat of rising sea levels to bayside suburbs such as Brighton has been in focus, but the risk in the city’s west is little noted.
Footscray’s risk had increased drastically as sea-level modelling has developed.
Maribyrnong Councillor for the Yarraville ward Martin Zakharov said the council was already dealing with the effects of sea-level rises, with grass in some parks dying due to inundation.
“One of the reasons the grass has stopped growing is because of the saltwater underneath,” he said. “I’ve spoken to some people in Moonee Valley who expect to move the playing fields along the river because it’s going to get worse.
“It’s an issue that we’re aware of for sure.”
Other councils were moving to protect the foreshore from the rising tide, with actions ranging from fortifying existing shorelines to improving resilience in residential streets.
Hobsons Bay City Council deputy mayor Sandra Wilson said her council and others were attempting to mitigate the rising seas with natural methods.
“There are mangrove plantings, which are innovative,” she said. “There are about 500-plus temperature mangroves planted along there. It’s the roots system that stops the coastal erosion.”
City of Port Phillip mayor Bernadene Voss said her council was looking to rework streets and drainage solutions to improve the way her city bounced back from a flooding event.
“There are often perfect storms that occur when there are king tides, and it’s raining,” she said.
“We have a lot of people who have water come through their windows. So it’s something we’re very aware of.”
Mayor of Wyndham Vale City Council Josh Gilligan said in future, at-risk councils like his would need to build coastal inundation resistance into their planning schemes.
“We’ve got to mitigate our risk for residents. We don’t want large insurance claims in the future,” he said. “We want to build a livable city, not just a big city. We’re definitely working in that space.
“There would be an expectation that councils, including ours, would need to look to these types of changes in the future.”
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